Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.157537 3.524459 3.921607 4.384185 4.909136 5.487467 6.174363
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.640944 3.132462 3.701976 4.413588 5.283035 6.315919 7.643532
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.309605 2.866003 3.544420 4.438549 5.594905 7.052003 9.046139
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.069353 2.663007 3.417372 4.455999 5.863995 7.727968 10.418534
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.839727 2.439676 3.228602 4.355265 5.944582 8.139089 11.455769
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.681116 2.289680 3.114782 4.332535 6.113472 8.669186 12.699453
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.542841 2.151836 3.000355 4.290259 6.239354 9.136468 13.887415
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.486431 2.122427 3.032892 4.458484 6.684596 10.113545 15.966316
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.390931 2.026765 2.958607 4.455761 6.862050 10.687177 17.453401
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.299102 1.928392 2.870699 4.421076 6.980484 11.170462 18.835168
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.169356 1.762308 2.665991 4.182202 6.741261 11.034508 19.112321
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.109083 1.699544 2.617076 4.190222 6.911586 11.603852 20.716664
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.071169 1.670969 2.622636 4.292868 7.260395 12.532245 23.133566
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.021237 1.619357 2.586730 4.321607 7.481513 13.254222 25.250275
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.974929 1.570191 2.550717 4.345988 7.695112 13.981506 27.470667
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.931339 1.522345 2.512968 4.363029 7.894717 14.699694 29.764669
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.872131 1.443819 2.416561 4.264656 7.863889 14.959571 31.105480
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.830215 1.392434 2.363906 4.242458 7.977454 15.517920 33.175544
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.788676 1.339049 2.303940 4.201170 8.048103 15.992724 35.116611
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.780005 1.343660 2.348991 4.365456 8.551426 17.435476 39.546981
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.748478 1.304752 2.311038 4.362797 8.705780 18.134953 42.269488
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.715005 1.260248 2.259663 4.328926 8.789804 18.684911 44.694236
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.658496 1.169756 2.115668 4.095633 8.420031 18.160788 44.258674